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Potential Domain Investing Risks



A


ll of us buying domain          to an Internet market             
names for several years now     consolidation, in the event of an 
can share a few stories on      open Internet with relaxed domain 
the satisfactory return on            extension creation protocols      
investment that we’ve had.            (read ICANN) the market could     
Nevertheless, when considering        become saturated with domain      
investing in more domains (or         extensions. In this scenario      
simply holding to the ones you        domain supply goes ad infinitum.  
already own) there are some           When users have the availability  
factors to evaluate on the            and Internet knowledge to browse  
durability and appreciation of        through .whatever, then           
those assets. The following are       whatever.com could lose value.    
potential domain investing                                              
scenarios where the asset could       * Increased user knowledge - Many 
depreciate in value:                  of the wealthiest domain          
                                      investors rely on type-in traffic 
* Internet market consolidation -     at generic domain names as its    
In a mature Internet market           major source of revenue. The      
consolidated into a few dominant      current user, unaware of the      
leaders, there is a possibility       existence or nonexistence of a    
of encapsulating the user (think      website is wrongly trained to     
of AOL) into a user experience        type in the topic they are        
controlled by the roles set out       searching for and add the “.com”. 
by those leaders. In this             Thus, owners of generic term      
scenario, users could be led to a     domain names are currently        
new form of browsing dominated        earning millions of dollars from  
mostly by “proprietary” keywords      this practice. These domain names 
owned by influential players.         are usually resold based on       
                                      yearly earnings multiples ranging 
* Excess domain supply - Opposite     in average of 8 to 15 times.      



However, as users grow more tech      investors facing an urgent need   
savvy, there’s a possibility that     to sell their domains will most   
the type-in water well dries up.      likely see a huge decline in the  
                                      selling price from the actual     
* Widgets and applications -          domain worth. This by itself      
Similar to the first point, as        reduces greatly the amount of     
Internet widgets and applications     investors and investment money    
proliferate user browsing             available by traditional and      
behavior could change. A user         wealthier investors.              
that interacts with the Internet                                        
through a collection of widgets       The constantly evolving Internet  
and applications could reduce its     technology poses many more risks  
dependence on traditional domain      in the way a user interacts in    
browsing (think Facebook apps).       cyberspace. A recent example of   
                                      how a domain extension’s          
* Evolution of television -           viability was seriously           
currently, there are powerful         questioned is the .mobi extension 
companies pushing for the             in response to the launch of the  
creation of an interactive            iPhone and the way the cellphone  
television experience, studies        allowed for regular browsing,     
show that users are ready.            rather than limited mobile        
Depending on the extent to which      browsing.                         
televisions supply the tools for                                        
browsing the Internet, users          When deciding to purchase a       
might find themselves interacting     domain name as an investment, the 
in a whole new way detached from      investor should consider the      
the need of domains.                  above factors and understand that 
                                      domain investing is a high risk   
* Liquidity - Domain names have       investment with a strong chance   
very low liquidity. As a result,      of having a relatively low        



durability.                           size="-2">http://www.circleid.com 
                                      /posts/iphone_dotmobi_domain/New Top Level Domain process          nt>                               
size="-2">http://www.icann.org/an                                  
nouncements/announcement-10aug07.                                       
htm
                                                                   type="text/javascript">              
google_color_bg = "FFFFFF";                                       
                                       google_color_link =             type="text/javascript"            
"0000FF";                                                               
                                                                  
google_color_url =              src="http://pagead2.googlesyndica 
"3E3F43";                             tion.com/pagead/show_ads.js">     
                                                                        
google_color_text =                                 




About the Author:

Rafael Sosa has been a domain name and Internet business investor since 2000. He has worked extensively in the construction of search engine optimized websites, search engine reputation management, and Internet technology patents. RafaelSosa.com

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